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Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Hearts logo

Aberdeen
3 - 0
Hearts

Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')
Miovski (68'), Ramadani (68'), Watkins (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Shankland (37'), Hill (68'), Sibbick (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-3 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Celtic
Saturday, March 11 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Aberdeen 1-2 Hearts

 The uptick in form Robson has been able to coax out of Aberdeen during his interim spell is nothing to sniff at, but the team's recent success has exclusively come against opponents they would reasonably be expected to beat; the Dons have not defeated a team in the top half of the Premiership since the World Cup. If Hearts can shake off the demoralising defeats inflicted by Celtic, they should underline their status as the best of the rest in the Premiership with a win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawHearts
44.82% (-0.156 -0.16) 24.03% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 31.14% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.62% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (-0.318 -0.32)42.56% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03% (-0.317 -0.32)64.96% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.194 -0.19)19.2% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)50.88% (0.321 0.32)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)26.21% (0.105 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (-0.141 -0.14)61.31% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 44.82%
    Hearts 31.14%
    Draw 24.02%
AberdeenDrawHearts
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.14%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Hearts

Aberdeen
52.4%
Draw
11.9%
Hearts
35.7%
42
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Hearts
5-0
Aberdeen
Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
Rowles (55')

Lopes (39')
Oct 16, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
2-0
Hearts
Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')
Richardson (2')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Souttar (38'), Kingsley (60')
Devlin (67')

Brown (37')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Watkins (49'), Ferguson (69')
McCrorie (59'), Campbell (82')
Souttar (45+2' pen.)
Woodburn (61'), Halkett (86')
Halliday (89')
Aug 22, 2021 3pm
Hearts
1-1
Aberdeen
Boyce (56' pen.)
Halliday (50'), Haring (76'), Walker (90+5')
Ojo (71')
Hayes (16'), Ferguson (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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