Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Hearts

Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
McKenzie (49'), Donnelly (51'), Chambers (81')
McKenzie (60')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Shankland (7')
Kingsley (56'), Smith (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 3-0 Hearts
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hearts

Kilmarnock have a decent record at Rugby Park, even if wins have been a rarity, losing just one of their home games in 2023 — a 3-2 defeat by second-place Rangers. Hearts have lost their last three on the road but have fared well against Saturday's opponents, and it could be another goal-fest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
42.49% ( -0.01)	25.47%	32.04% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

-0)

48.68% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

-0)

70.79% (

-0)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

-0.01)

22.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.49% (

-0.01)

56.51% (

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

28.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

64.47% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 42.49%

Hearts 32.04%

Draw 25.47%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.49%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.04%