Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

St Mirren Park

St Mirren
0 - 2
Kilmarnock

Small (67'), Kiltie (90')
Small (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Donnelly (18'), Doidge (35')
Jones (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: Rangers 5-2 St Mirren
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-4 Celtic
Sunday, April 16 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Kilmarnock

The previous two meetings between the two sides this season have finished in goalless draws, but we think that the hosts will claim a narrow victory over a Kilmarnock side who have lost 14 of their 16 away league games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
44.82% ( -0.08)	26.53% ( 0.02)	28.65% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.06% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

-0.04)

54.4% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.23% (

-0.04)

75.77% (

0.04)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83% (

-0.06)

24.17% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.51% (

-0.08)

58.49% (

0.08)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

0.02)

33.98% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34% (

0.03)

70.66% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 44.81%

Kilmarnock 28.65%

Draw 26.52%

St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.81%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.65%