Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
37.81% | 26.42% | 35.77% |
Both teams to score 52.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.01% | 51.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.27% | 73.72% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% | 26.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% | 62.02% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% | 27.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.44% | 63.56% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |