Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Apr 17, 2021 at 11.45am UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Kilmarnock3 - 1Montrose
Reaction
Tommy Wright focused on league survival
Kilmarnock are currently two points off the foot of the Scottish Premiership table.
4 years ago
Tommy Wright laments "far too many mistakes" in Montrose win
Killie beat League One outfit Montrose in the Scottish Cup fourth round.
4 years ago
The Match
Match Report
First-half goals from Kyle Lafferty and Chris Burke put Killie in a comfortable position and Greg Kiltie added to their lead after the break.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Kilmarnock and Montrose, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Montrose |
| 53.5% | 22.29% | 24.21% |
| Both teams to score 59.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% | 39.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.1% | 61.9% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% | 14.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.86% | 43.14% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% | 29.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.38% | 65.62% |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 53.5%
Montrose 24.21%
Draw 22.28%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.21% |
Form Guide
