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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Apr 17, 2021 at 11.45am UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Montrose

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Montrose

Lafferty (6'), Pinnock (24'), Kiltie (61')
Broadfoot (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ballantyne (82')
Ballantyne (67'), Masson (75'), Quinn (86'), Campbell (90'), Ballantyne (90+2'), Callaghan (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

First-half goals from Kyle Lafferty and Chris Burke put Killie in a comfortable position and Greg Kiltie added to their lead after the break.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Kilmarnock and Montrose, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawMontrose
53.5%22.29%24.21%
Both teams to score 59.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45%39.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1%61.9%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17%14.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86%43.14%
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41%29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38%65.62%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 53.5%
    Montrose 24.21%
    Draw 22.28%
KilmarnockDrawMontrose
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 6.19%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 2.95%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.8%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-1 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 24.21%

rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
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11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
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