Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Apr 16, 2021 at 6pm UK
The SMISA Stadium
St Mirren2 - 1Inverness
The Match
Match Report
Their reward is a tie with the winner of Saturday's match between Kilmarnock or Montrose, with a place in the semi-finals at stake.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between St Mirren and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 41.29% | 26.22% | 32.49% |
| Both teams to score 52.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% | 51.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.52% | 73.48% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% | 24.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.71% | 59.29% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.04% | 65.95% |
| Score Analysis |
St Mirren 41.28%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 32.49%
Draw 26.22%
| St Mirren | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.49% |
How you voted: St Mirren vs Inverness
St Mirren
40.0%Draw
20.0%Inverness Caledonian Thistle
40.0%5
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
