Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.