Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
44.16% | 26.42% | 29.42% |
Both teams to score 50.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.41% | 53.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.9% | 75.1% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% | 24.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% | 58.44% |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% | 32.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.43% | 69.56% |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Hungary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Scotland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |