Scottish Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston
0 - 3
Inverness

Devlin (57'), Shinnie (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mckay (51', 80'), Welsh (62')
Welsh (57'), Mckay (60'), Carson (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Livingston and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Livingston 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Inverness 2-2 Morton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Livingston 1-0 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

We believe that Livingston will be too strong for Inverness in this cup tie, however, the game will be competitive without a huge disparity between the scores. We feel that Livingston will make the breakthrough in this affair and that they will progress through to the next round of the Scottish FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
48.58% ( 0.08)	24.5% ( -0.02)	26.92% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.17% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.86% (

0.05)

47.14% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.62% (

0.05)

69.38% (

-0.05)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

0.05)

19.46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.68% (

0.09)

51.32% (

-0.08)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

-0.02)

31.5% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-0.02)

67.89% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Livingston 48.57%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26.92%

Draw 24.5%

Livingston	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.57%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.92%