Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 92.16%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 1.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 4-0 (13.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.83%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Celtic in this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
92.16% ( -0.03) | 6.16% ( 0.03) | 1.69% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 28.76% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.23% ( -0.21) | 27.77% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.54% ( -0.27) | 48.46% ( 0.26) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.64% ( -0.03) | 3.36% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.24% ( -0.11) | 14.77% ( 0.11) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
29.76% ( -0.19) | 70.25% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
4.95% ( -0.06) | 95.05% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
3-0 @ 15.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 8-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.17% Total : 92.15% | 1-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 6.16% | Other @ 1.69% Total : 1.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |