Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 21, 2023 at 12.15pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
5 - 0
Morton

Mooy (18' pen., 84'), Furuhashi (21', 45+1'), Turnbull (42')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and Greenock Morton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

Last Game: Celtic 4-0 St Mirren
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 1-0 Morton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

We said: Celtic 5-0 Greenock Morton

In truth, it should be a complete mismatch, with 52-time Scottish champions Celtic the vastly superior team, especially considering how well they are doing in the league this season. As such, it is not likely to be a matter of whether Celtic win, rather how many they win by, and we expect them to cruise home to a very comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 94.65%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 0.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.93%) and 2-0 (13.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.1%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (0.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Greenock Morton
94.65% ( 0)	4.46% ( -0.01)	0.89% ( -0)

Both teams to score 21.44% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.1% (

0.02)

25.9% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.91% (

0.02)

46.08% (

-0.02)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.3% (

2.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.56% (

0.01)

12.44% (

-0.01)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

22.03% (

77.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

2.63%

97.37% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Celtic 94.63%

Greenock Morton 0.89%

Draw 4.46%

Celtic	Draw	Greenock Morton
3-0 @ 16.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 14.93% 2-0 @ 13.72% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.11% 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 7-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 8-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 4.17% Total : 94.63%	0-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 4.46%	Other @ 0.89% Total : 0.89%