Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
43.7% ( -0.86) | 26.35% ( -0.16) | 29.96% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 51.34% ( 1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.91% ( 1.06) | 53.09% ( -1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.33% ( 0.9) | 74.67% ( -0.9) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( 0.04) | 24.14% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( 0.06) | 58.45% ( -0.07) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 1.31) | 32.32% ( -1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% ( 1.46) | 68.83% ( -1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |