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Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Cove Rangers

Ayr
2 - 2
Cove Rangers

Akinyemi (29'), Kirk (37')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Scully (31'), McDonagh (52')
Sanders (68'), Gilmour (87'), Vigurs (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Cove Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-1 Inverness
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawCove Rangers
53.77% (-0.401 -0.4) 23.32% (0.19 0.19) 22.91% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 54.83% (-0.354 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.597 -0.6)45.61% (0.596 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (-0.57 -0.57)67.93% (0.571 0.57)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)16.89% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (-0.641 -0.64)46.93% (0.642 0.64)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (-0.139 -0.14)34.02% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (-0.148 -0.15)70.7% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 53.77%
    Cove Rangers 22.91%
    Draw 23.31%
Ayr UnitedDrawCove Rangers
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 22.91%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Cove Rangers
1-2
Ayr
Masson (90+2' pen.)
Dempsey (59' pen.), Akinyemi (68')
rhs 2.0
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