Scottish Championship | Gameweek 14

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 1
Morton

Kirk (3')
McGinty (10'), Mitchell-Lawson (29'), Murdoch (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Quitongo (16')
Grimshaw (41'), Strapp (55'), Gillespie (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 4-0 Inverness
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Greenock Morton
54.91% ( -1.12)	24.19% ( 0.25)	20.89% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

0.04)

51.47% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

0.03)

73.28% (

-0.03)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36% (

-0.41)

18.64% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.05% (

-0.69)

49.95% (

0.69)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.74% (

0.94)

39.26% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

0.87)

75.97% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 54.9%

Greenock Morton 20.89%

Draw 24.19%

Ayr United	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.9%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.89%