Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Ayr United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arbroath 1-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 4-2 Partick
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
55.21% ( -0.38) | 24.43% ( 0.29) | 20.36% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( -1.03) | 53% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( -0.88) | 74.6% ( 0.88) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -0.54) | 19.1% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.27% ( -0.9) | 50.72% ( 0.9) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( -0.5) | 40.71% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.7% ( -0.45) | 77.29% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Arbroath 55.21%
Ayr United 20.36%
Draw 24.42%
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.21% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.36% |
