Scottish Championship | Gameweek 2

Aug 7, 2021 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
2 - 2
Arbroath

Adeloye (70'), McKenzie (87')
Adeloye (25'), Fjortoft (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nouble (10'), McKenna (28')
Hamilton (69'), Low (76')

Ayr hit back from two goals down to draw with Arbroath

Mark McKenzie grabbed a last-gasp equaliser.

Aug 7, 17:31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
45.33%	27.23%	27.43%

Both teams to score 47.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.39%

57.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62%

78.38%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66%

25.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87%

60.13%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.32%

36.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.54%

73.47%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 45.33%

Arbroath 27.43%

Draw 27.23%

Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.33%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.43%