Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
Elgin0 - 1Arbroath
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Arbroath |
| 31.93% | 23.77% | 44.3% |
| Both teams to score 60.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% | 24.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.37% | 59.62% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% | 18.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.79% | 50.2% |
| Score Analysis |
Elgin City 31.93%
Arbroath 44.3%
Draw 23.77%
| Elgin City | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.3% |
