Elgin
0 - 1
Arbroath

FT(HT: 0-0)

Donnelly (80')
Craigen (21')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Elgin City and Arbroath, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Arbroath
31.93%	23.77%	44.3%

Both teams to score 60.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.99%

41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.6%

63.4%

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02%

24.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37%

59.62%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21%

18.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.79%

50.2%

Score Analysis

Elgin City 31.93%

Arbroath 44.3%

Draw 23.77%

Elgin City	Draw	Arbroath
2-1 @ 7.55% 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.93%	1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.3%