Stranraer

1 - 4

Elgin

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.