Stranraer

1 - 4

Elgin

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.