Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Falkirk win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
