Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.