MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:42:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8
Dec 19, 2020 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Ayr United

Arbroath
2 - 1
Ayr

Craigen (36', 38')
Virtanen (58'), Thomson (67'), McKenna (86'), Hamilton (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baird (88')

The Match

Match Report

Arbroath secure first win of season after victory over Ayr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawAyr United
40.99%26.17%32.84%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58%51.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77%73.23%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23%24.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67%59.33%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51%29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5%65.5%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 40.98%
    Ayr United 32.84%
    Draw 26.17%
ArbroathDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.84%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Ayr
P-P
Arbroath
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Arbroath
P-P
Ayr
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ayr
1-1
Arbroath
Kelly (22')
Moore (77')
McKenna (48' pen.)
Donnelly (78'), Stewart (82')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Arbroath
0-3
Ayr

McKenna (33')
Forrest (12', 20'), Kerr (27')
Mar 14, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk129212581729
2Livingston12651159623
3Ayr UnitedAyr126331811721
4Partick ThistlePartick12543117419
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park125431211119
6Hamilton AcademicalHamilton124351717015
7Raith Rovers124261014-414
8Greenock MortonMorton12246716-910
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline12237913-49
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians12129624-185


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