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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8
Dec 19, 2020 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Ayr United

Arbroath
2 - 1
Ayr

Craigen (36', 38')
Virtanen (58'), Thomson (67'), McKenna (86'), Hamilton (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baird (88')

The Match

Match Report

Arbroath secure first win of season after victory over Ayr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawAyr United
40.99%26.17%32.84%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58%51.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77%73.23%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23%24.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67%59.33%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51%29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5%65.5%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 40.98%
    Ayr United 32.84%
    Draw 26.17%
ArbroathDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.84%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Ayr
P-P
Arbroath
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Arbroath
P-P
Ayr
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ayr
1-1
Arbroath
Kelly (22')
Moore (77')
McKenna (48' pen.)
Donnelly (78'), Stewart (82')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Arbroath
0-3
Ayr

McKenna (33')
Forrest (12', 20'), Kerr (27')
Mar 14, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk1511222891935
2Livingston148511910929
3Ayr UnitedAyr147432214825
4Partick ThistlePartick14653179823
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park156451616022
6Raith Rovers144371318-515
7Hamilton AcademicalHamilton144371925-615
8Greenock MortonMorton143561119-814
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline143381115-412
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians141211627-215


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