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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Alloa Athletic
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 6
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Ayr United

Alloa
0 - 2
Ayr


Trouten (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCowan (38'), Murdoch (60')
Smith (37'), Chalmers (74')
Smith (84')

The Match

Match Report

The result also represents the Honest Men's first away win of the campaign.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawAyr United
30.97%24.7%44.33%
Both teams to score 57.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3%45.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98%68.02%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52%63.48%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71%53.29%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 30.97%
    Ayr United 44.33%
    Draw 24.69%
Alloa AthleticDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 7.41%
1-0 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.97%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-1 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.16%
1-3 @ 4.8%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.33%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 33
Ayr
P-P
Alloa
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Alloa
0-2
Ayr

Thomson (13'), Hetherington (62')
Bell (9'), Forrest (82')
Harvie (73')
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
Ayr
2-1
Alloa
Docherty (6', 12')
Kelly (81')
O'Hara (67')
Trouten (23'), Hetherington (58'), Deas (69')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Alloa
1-4
Ayr
O'Hara (61')
Robertson (90')
Forrest (10' pen., 31'), Roscoe (13'), McCowan (20')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Ayr
1-1
Alloa
Shankland (37')
Shields (33')
Flannigan (80')
rhs 2.0
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