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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Nov 24, 2020 at 7pm UK
Tynecastle
Alloa Athletic

Hearts
3 - 0
Alloa

Smith (6'), Halliday (24'), Haring (37')
Lee (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Graham (34'), Cawley (69'), Taggart (71'), Robertson (71'), Grant (89')

The Match

Match Report

Michael Smith opened the scoring for Hearts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAlloa Athletic
72.49%16.76%10.75%
Both teams to score 49.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52%38.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.23%60.77%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73%9.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.67%31.32%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.01%44.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08%80.92%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 72.48%
    Alloa Athletic 10.75%
    Draw 16.76%
HeartsDrawAlloa Athletic
2-0 @ 11.79%
1-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 9.35%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 5.56%
4-1 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 2.98%
5-0 @ 2.65%
5-1 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.77%
6-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 72.48%
1-1 @ 7.92%
0-0 @ 4.17%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 16.76%
0-1 @ 3.33%
1-2 @ 3.17%
0-2 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 10.75%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2015 7.45pm
Hearts
3-0
Alloa
Paterson (43'), Wilson (49'), El Hassnaoui (69')
Wilson (72')

Flannigan (70'), Docherty (76')
Docherty (90')
Jan 31, 2015 5.30pm
Alloa
1-4
Hearts
Spence (61')
Benedictus (17'), Gordon (45'), Doyle (54'), McCord (68')
Pallardo (5'), Keatings (12'), Walker (66'), Paterson (90')
Dec 20, 2014 3pm
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
Alloa
0-1
Hearts

Gordon (36'), Simmons (38'), Doyle (51')
Eckersley (87')
King (55')
rhs 2.0
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