Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
72.49% | 16.76% | 10.75% |
Both teams to score 49.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.52% | 38.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.23% | 60.77% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.73% | 9.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.67% | 31.32% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.01% | 44.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.08% | 80.92% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-0 @ 11.79% 1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 9.35% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 5.56% 4-1 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.77% 6-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.96% Total : 72.48% | 1-1 @ 7.92% 0-0 @ 4.17% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.76% | 0-1 @ 3.33% 1-2 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.92% Total : 10.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |