Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
34.07% | 26.49% | 39.44% |
Both teams to score 52.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.52% | 52.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% | 74.15% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% | 29.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.83% | 65.17% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% | 26.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% | 61.12% |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
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