Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4

Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
2 - 1
Inverness

Naismith (47'), Boyce (70')
Haring (22'), Halliday (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Doran (86')
Deas (39')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Steven Naismith and Liam Boyce earned the Jambos the win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
57.43%	22.11%	20.46%

Both teams to score 55.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.74%

43.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35%

65.65%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.18%

14.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.89%

43.11%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.98%

35.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.23%

71.76%

Score Analysis

Hearts 57.43%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 20.46%

Draw 22.1%

Hearts	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.46% 3-1 @ 6.32% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 3.02% 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.43%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 5.45% 0-1 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.46%