Hearts
1 - 0
Inverness

Walker (62' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

John Robertson accuses ref of 'guessing' costly handball decision in cup tie

Jamie Walker scored the only goal of the Betfred Cup encounter after Cameron Harper had been penalised for handball.

Oct 6, 23:06

The Match

Match Report

Craig Gordon pulled off a stunning early stop to deny Daniel MacKay before Jamie Walker's second-half penalty earned the home side the win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
48.15%	23.6%	28.24%

Both teams to score 59.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79%

42.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.38%

64.61%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28%

17.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.62%

48.37%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03%

27.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4%

63.6%

Score Analysis

Hearts 48.15%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 28.24%

Draw 23.6%

Hearts	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.77% Total : 48.15%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.24%