Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
47.44% | 25.39% | 27.16% |
Both teams to score 52.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.26% | 50.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% | 54.38% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% | 33.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% | 69.81% |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.44% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |