MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 13:41:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Greenock Morton
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock
Ayr United

Morton
3 - 2
Ayr

Oliver (83'), Blues (85'), Strapp (88')
Salkeld (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Strapp (32' og.), Smith (74')
Muirhead (52')

The Match

Match Report

The home side scored three times in the final seven minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawAyr United
41.66%25.55%32.78%
Both teams to score 55.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21%48.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11%70.89%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82%57.17%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77%28.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07%63.93%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 41.66%
    Ayr United 32.78%
    Draw 25.55%
Greenock MortonDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.78%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2020 7.05pm
Gameweek 34
Morton
P-P
Ayr
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ayr
1-2
Morton
Malley (22')
Harvie (68')
Orsi (29'), Cadden (72')
Strapp (64'), Colville (84')
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morton
2-3
Ayr
Baird (47'), McHugh (61')
Salkeld (40')
Moore (50'), McCowan (55'), McGuffie (78')
Docherty (53')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ayr
4-2
Morton
Moffat (9'), McCowan (55'), Forrest (64'), McGuffie (92')
Geggan (67')
Tumilty (73'), Cadden (79')
Nesbitt (21'), van Schaik (53')
Apr 2, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Ayr
1-1
Morton
Shankland (21' pen.)
Kiltie (71')
Iredale (66')
rhs 2.0
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