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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
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Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr
0 - 0
Dunfermline


Anderson (66'), Murdoch (89')
FT

Watson (69'), McInroy (85')

The Match

Match Report

The visitors had scored 10 goals in their opening three games of the campaign.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
39.53%27.55%32.93%
Both teams to score 48.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.17%56.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24%77.76%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94%28.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28%63.72%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84%32.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36%68.64%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 39.52%
    Dunfermline Athletic 32.92%
    Draw 27.55%
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.92%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Dunfermline
0-1
Ayr
Moore (38')
Geggan (11'), Docherty (82')
Dec 3, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Ayr
0-1
Dunfermline

Moffat (52'), Harvie (70')
Nisbet (68')
Beadling (45')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dunfermline
3-2
Ayr
Kiltie (28'), Ashcroft (63'), Ryan (84')
Turner (78')
Ashcroft (43' og.), Forrest (57')
Muirhead (9'), McCowan (68'), Docherty (77'), Geggan (93')
Mar 29, 2019 7.05pm
Gameweek 31
Dunfermline
0-1
Ayr

Devine (69'), El-Bakhtaoui (95')
McDaid (31')
Harvie (80'), Kerr (94')
rhs 2.0
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