Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.