Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
66.38% | 19.74% | 13.88% |
Both teams to score 49.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.76% | 44.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.38% | 66.62% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% | 12.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.63% | 38.37% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.44% | 43.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.24% | 79.76% |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-0 @ 11.77% 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.8% 4-0 @ 4.26% 4-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.2% Total : 66.37% | 1-1 @ 9.39% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.74% | 0-1 @ 4.5% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.13% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |