Arbroath

1 - 3

Dunfermline

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.