Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1

Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
3 - 0
Arbroath

Armstrong (31'), Tumilty (36'), Hendry (43')
Tait (59'), MacDonald (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Virtanen (48'), O'Brien (71'), (89')
O'Brien (89')

The Match

Match Report

Dan Armstrong, Reghan Tumilty and Regan Hendry scored in a 3-0 win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Arbroath
56.9%	22.63%	20.47%

Both teams to score 53.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47%

45.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.14%

67.86%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.23%

15.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.09%

44.91%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69%

36.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9%

73.1%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 56.89%

Arbroath 20.47%

Draw 22.62%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.77% 3-1 @ 6.09% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.78% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.04% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.89%	1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.62%	0-1 @ 5.8% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.47%