Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
49.09% ( -0.16) | 26.85% ( 0.13) | 24.06% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.62% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.63% ( -0.42) | 58.37% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.02% ( -0.33) | 78.98% ( 0.33) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.26) | 23.88% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% ( -0.37) | 58.08% ( 0.37) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% ( -0.21) | 40.06% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.29% ( -0.19) | 76.71% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |