Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
44.85% ( -0.07) | 27.6% ( 0.24) | 27.56% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.17% ( -0.92) | 58.83% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.66% ( -0.72) | 79.33% ( 0.72) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( -0.46) | 26.14% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( -0.62) | 61.21% ( 0.62) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.76% ( -0.64) | 37.24% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.97% ( -0.64) | 74.03% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |