Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
43.38% ( -0.75) | 27.67% ( 0.11) | 28.94% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 46.94% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.53% ( -0.14) | 58.47% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.94% ( -0.11) | 79.05% ( 0.1) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( -0.45) | 26.73% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38% ( -0.6) | 62% ( 0.6) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.07% ( 0.43) | 35.93% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.29% ( 0.43) | 72.7% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |