Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen's Park in this match.