Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18

Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
2 - 1
Morton

Hamilton (48'), Dowds (80')
Hamilton (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliver (74')
Hynes (62')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Greenock Morton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Greenock Morton
54.25%	25.71%	20.04%

Both teams to score 44.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.04%

57.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.35%

78.65%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55%

21.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.53%

54.46%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.08%

43.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.94%

80.05%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 54.25%

Greenock Morton 20.04%

Draw 25.7%

Arbroath	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 14.5% 2-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 4.71% 4-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3% Total : 54.25%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.04%