Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.