Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.