Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.