Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.