Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.