Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.