Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
47.75% ( -0.27) | 24.61% ( -0.06) | 27.65% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% ( 0.49) | 47.1% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.66% ( 0.45) | 69.34% ( -0.44) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% ( 0.08) | 19.79% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.15% ( 0.13) | 51.85% ( -0.13) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( 0.5) | 30.93% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.78% ( 0.58) | 67.22% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |