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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
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Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Hamilton logo

Ayr
1 - 0
Hamilton

Mullin (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Doyle (20'), Martin (31')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 0-2 Dundee
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
46.75% (0.836 0.84) 24.95% (-0.122 -0.12) 28.3% (-0.716 -0.72)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (0.104 0.1)48.16% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.094999999999999 0.09)70.32% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (0.407 0.41)20.64% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (0.64 0.64)53.21% (-0.642 -0.64)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.471 -0.47)30.99% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.555 -0.56)67.29% (0.55300000000001 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 46.75%
    Hamilton Academical 28.3%
    Draw 24.94%
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.3%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 7.45pm
Hamilton
2-3
Ayr
Lawson (50' pen.), Ecrepont (80' og.)
Akinyemi (4', 69'), Dempsey (83' pen.)
Murdoch (10')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Hamilton
Akinyemi (3'), Murdoch (85')
Murdoch (66')
Winter (14'), O'Reilly (73')
O'Reilly (68')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
1-1
Hamilton
McInroy (90+4')
McGinty (61'), Bryden (61')
Winter (6')
Moyo (61'), O'Reilly (71'), Lawson (76'), Ryan (90+5')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
1-1
Ayr
Kennedy (7')
O'Reilly (70'), Martin (81')
Ashford (66')
Murdoch (70'), McGinty (81'), Muirhead (90+3')
Dec 10, 2021 7.45pm
Ayr
1-1
Hamilton
Adeloye (48')
Smith (40')
Moyo (59'), Virtanen (86')
rhs 2.0
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