Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr1 - 0Hamilton
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Hamilton Academical.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ayr 0-2 Dundee
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Hamilton 0-1 Raith Rovers
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46.75% ( 0.84) | 24.95% ( -0.12) | 28.3% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( 0.1) | 48.16% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0.09) | 70.32% ( -0.1) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( 0.41) | 20.64% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.79% ( 0.64) | 53.21% ( -0.64) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.47) | 30.99% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.71% ( -0.56) | 67.29% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
Ayr United 46.75%
Hamilton Academical 28.3%
Draw 24.94%
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.3% |
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 7.45pm
Hamilton
2-3
Ayr
Lawson (50' pen.), Ecrepont (80' og.)
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Hamilton
Winter (14'), O'Reilly (73')
O'Reilly (68')
O'Reilly (68')
Dec 10, 2021 7.45pm
