Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.