Scottish Championship | Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr2 - 0Raith Rovers
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inverness 2-2 Ayr
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-5 Queen's Park
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
49.34% ( -1.28) | 25.49% ( 0.25) | 25.17% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( -0.16) | 52.5% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.14) | 74.17% ( 0.14) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.61) | 21.3% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.76% ( -0.95) | 54.24% ( 0.95) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( 0.81) | 35.8% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.42% ( 0.83) | 72.58% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
Ayr United 49.33%
Raith Rovers 25.17%
Draw 25.48%
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.17% |
