Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
48.86% ( -0.06) | 25.86% ( -0.23) | 25.28% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.52% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.14% ( 1.07) | 53.86% ( -1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.68% ( 0.89) | 75.32% ( -0.89) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.93% ( 0.42) | 22.07% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.59% ( 0.64) | 55.41% ( -0.64) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.55% ( 0.84) | 36.45% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.76% ( 0.84) | 73.24% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 25.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 42 |
2 | Livingston | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 35 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 32 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 24 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 21 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 20 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 16 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |