Scottish Championship | Gameweek 26

Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
1 - 2
Ayr

Nicolson (86')
Carson (19'), Harper (33')
Carson (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McGinty (35'), Adeloye (64')
McKenzie (31')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Ayr United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
58.36%	23.22%	18.41%

Both teams to score 48.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.2%

50.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.31%

72.68%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88%

17.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.66%

47.34%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.4%

41.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.92%

78.08%

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 58.36%

Ayr United 18.41%

Draw 23.22%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 5.72% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.36%	1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.41%