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Ayr United
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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Ayr United

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Ayr

Murray (7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maxwell (14'), Reading (80')
Murdoch (23'), McInroy (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Ayr United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawAyr United
71.51%17.85%10.64%
Both teams to score 45.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04%43.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65%66.35%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04%10.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.8%35.2%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.18%48.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.18%83.82%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 71.5%
    Ayr United 10.64%
    Draw 17.85%
KilmarnockDrawAyr United
2-0 @ 13.07%
1-0 @ 11.83%
3-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 6.91%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-0 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 71.5%
1-1 @ 8.49%
0-0 @ 5.35%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.85%
0-1 @ 3.84%
1-2 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 10.64%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Ayr

Kilmarnock
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Ayr United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ayr
0-1
Kilmarnock

Reading (25'), Adeloye (68')
Shaw (89' pen.)
McGowan (45+2'), Murray (80'), Shaw (90')
Aug 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Kilmarnock
2-0
Ayr
Polworth (56'), Cameron (86' pen.)
Stokes (45+1'), Lyons (88')

Adeloye (31'), Houston (41'), Salkeld (71'), Baird (85')
Jul 14, 2017 7.45pm
Group stage
Ayr
1-0
Kilmarnock
Geggan (39')
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Second Round
Kilmarnock
1-0
Ayr
McKenzie (69')
Chantler (57'), Hamill (88')

Devlin (8'), Campbell (44'), McLaughlin (78')
rhs 2.0
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